Friday, September 20, 2013

NFL Quarterback Attractiveness Survey Results

I would just like to thank all of you who filled out the NFL Quarterback Attractiveness Survey I posted this last week! Special thanks go out to Diana, D Walt, and Sam Wong for helping me set up and publicize the survey. I ended up with a great amount of people who took the time to fill it out (see below).

Gender Respondents
Male 10
Female 56
Total 66

The following are some different graphs and basic analyses of the data I collected, all created using Google Charts, which I painstakingly learned for this project. Creating these pretty interactive graphs take forever, so I haven't gotten around to posting more football-related metrics (like plotting attractiveness vs. NFL performance or attractivenss vs. draft position), but I hope to get that done soon! Enjoy.

Links

Here's the first chart with all of the values. Enjoy the interactive chart that I spent the last hour and a half working on:






Below is a table of average rating of each quarterback, from highest to lowest.

Rank Quarterback Average Rating
1 Tom Brady 7.42
2 Alex Smith 6.12
3 Ryan Tannehill 6.02
4 Eli Manning 5.92
5 Aaron Rodgers 5.88
6 Christian Ponder 5.86
7 Russell Wilson 5.58
8 Tony Romo 5.57
9 Matt Ryan 5.38
10 EJ Manuel 5.32
11 Jay Cutler 5.29
12 Colin Kaepernick 5.29
13 Andrew Luck 5.22
14 Cam Newton 5.12
15 Philip Rivers 5.03
16 Drew Brees 4.88
17 Michael Vick 4.86
18 Carson Palmer 4.74
19 Peyton Manning 4.54
20 Joe Flacco 4.52
21 Geno Smith 4.46
22 Josh Freeman 4.45
23 Brandon Weeden 4.37
24 Sam Bradford 4.22
25 Matthew Stafford 4.03
26 Chad Henne 4.02
27 Jake Locker 3.88
28 Andy Dalton 3.86
29 Terrelle Pryor 3.77
30 Robert Griffin III 3.72
31 Matt Schaub 3.45
32 Ben Roethlisberger 3.11

NFL Attractiveness Survey Results - Guys vs Girl Responses

Links

There were significantly more female responses than there were male responses. Even though the male sample size is really too small, I thought it would still be fun to compare the results.

Overall, men rated the quarterbacks significantly lower than the women. Perhaps they were just jealous of the success, wealth, and overall handsomeness of the quarterbacks.

Gender Respondents Average Rating
Male 10 4.35
Female 56 4.97
Overall 664.87


Below is a chart of the average ratings for each quarterback against the average. As previously mentioned, the guys had a considerable lower average rating than the girls, but as you can see in the chart, there are a few spikes where males rated the quarterbacks significantly differently than the females. As you will notice, it seems like the males tended to rate well-performing quarterbacks much higher and poor-performing quarterbacks lower.

Quarterbacks That Males Rated Much Higher
Quarterback Female Rating Male Rating
Matthew Stafford 3.91 4.7
Peyton Manning 4.24 6.2
Colin Kaepernick 5.166

Quarterbacks That Males Rated Much Lower
Quarterback Female Rating Male Rating
Terrelle Pryor 3.96 2.7
Jake Locker 4.02 3.1
Sam Bradford 4.423.1
Brandon Weeden 4.583.2
Geno Smith 4.713.1
Carson Palmer 5.023.2
EJ Manuel 5.623.7
Christian Ponder 6.184.1
Eli Manning 6.244.2

And here's the chart you all came to see:



Links

NFL Attractiveness - Overall Rating Distribution

Links

In this page, I charted the overall voting distribution of all the respondents. As shown in the Men vs. Women post, the overall average rating was 4.87. However, as results came in, I noticed that some surveys were overwhelmingly positive while others were overwhelmingly negative. Below is a collection of charts that attempt to give a sense of how you all rated.

Overall Rating Distribution

Below is a histogram and a pie chart representing the overall frequency of each rating. As you can see, the graph is slightly skewed left, as there were 4 times as many "1" votes (144) as there are "10" votes (35). Not shown in the graph, however, is that over a third (51 out of 144) of the "1" votes were from two surveys that basically voted everyone as a "1" except for the few quarterbacks that they voted "10" for. I probably should remove these two surveys from the pool to make the data a bit more representative, but I've already posted all this stuff, so I wont.







Average Rating Per Respondent

Because I noticed that some responses were overwhelmingly positive and some where overwhelmingly negative, I thought it would be interesting to chart the average ratings per respondent. As you can see, there are four outlier surveys which probably pulled all the averages down significantly.



The following is a pie chart representation of the above histogram, where each red slice indicates an overall unattractive rating (<5) and each blue slice indicates an overall attractive rating (>5). As you can see, it came pretty close, with 47.7% of respondents thinking that NFL quarterbacks are attractive overall, and 52.3% thinking otherwise.





Links

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

God's Will and Decision-Making

Disclaimer: Today is the first day I've given any of this any thought and I'm sure there are a bunch of non-sequesters and  logical fallacies in the post, so don't take my arguments as final. If you disagree or have more points, please comment so I can benefit from your input!

"God desires all people to be saved and to come to the knowledge of the truth." - 1 Timothy 2:4

As I was meditating on that verse just now, here are some of the thoughts that ran through my head.
  • Man, this verse is so hard to believe sometimes.
  • If God desires all people to be saved, what is keeping him back from doing it?
  • I know that hell is still glorifying to God, as his justice is revealed. Maybe God's desire for justice to be desired keeps Him from saving all people. 
Once that last thought ran through my head, the following question automatically hit me: 

Does God have competing desires/wills that He needs to sort through and decide between?

After thinking a little bit about it, my response (as of today, may or may not change in the future) is no, God does not have truly competing desires and wills. Here are a few reasons why. [Note that below, I use "desire" and "will" interchangeably. Also, I am speaking exclusively about God's secret, sovereign will and not of his revealed will or his will of disposition. Also, if you were looking for a response to the initial question I brought up about sending people to hell, the previous link has a good response.]

1) Competing wills implies one is superior over the other.

If God is thinking and deciding between Will A and Will B, if he chooses Will B, it means that Will A was superior to Will B, implying that God had a less-than-perfect idea. Similarly, if God chooses to make a compromise Will C between Will A and Will B, it means that God's original desires Will A and Will B were not perfect and incorrect, which I believe God is incapable of. 

Another way to envision this impossibility is to imagine the absurdity of God making a pros and cons list to make a decision. God  simply cannot will something that has any cons. 

2) Conflicting desires implies that one of the conflicting wills cannot come to pass. 

Similar to the above argument, if God has two conflicting wills and decides between them, at least one of His wills does not come to pass. This cannot be, as God's sovereignty necessitates that His ordained will always comes to pass. 

3) If God needs to "think things through", He is not perfect. 

Does an omniscient, sovereign God need to spend time weighing options or making difficult decisions? If He did, wouldn't that make Him less than perfect, and thus not God? 

Conclusion

I think that in general, we try to think about God in our human, finite terms, which ends up being impossible. When it comes to will and decisions, God is a whole other animal. Whatever God wills, is. He doesn't make a mistake, and He always gets it right the first time. Actually, God isn't even in time and doesn't make decisions "in time", so there is no "first time" for Him. There just is. God exists at a whole different level of being, which obviously makes this all this brain-crushingly difficult to think about. 

This entire post was just a really long way of saying that I don't think that the Father, Son, and Holy Spirit got together and argued about whether or not to send the Great Flood or whether or not to kill off Moses right before the people entered the Promised Land (did GRRM write the OT?). This also means that God did not compromise between his desire for all men to be saved and his desire to see justice done through hell. There is no alternate ending where all people are saved and there is no hell that God is keeping from us. As difficult as it may be to come to terms with, this reality that God has set forth is the greatest and best reality.

Related Post

Monday, September 16, 2013

Weighting Attractiveness Ratings

For those of you who haven't seen on my Facebook, I'm conducting a survey of the attractiveness of starting NFL quarterbacks (survey here!). As I was thinking about the analysis of the survey, I came across the idea of having different weights for each rating. The naive value for each rating is its own numerical value (1=1, 2=2, etc), but I believe that this doesn't accurately capture what each rating represents. I've made my own value system which which I'll apply to the data along with the default values, and I can't wait to see what changes, if any, it will make to the data. Of course, I'm probably overthinking things, but whatever. This was fun to think about.

Ratings and their Corresponding Values
Attractiveness Rating
1
2
3
4
 5 
 6 
 7
8
9
10
Value
-7
-5
-3
-2
 0 
2
 3 
 5 
 6 
9



Explanation/Rationale

1) Shifted down - I've shifted all the values down so that any negative value indicates someone who is "unattractive" and any positive ranking indicates someone who is "attractive".

2) Rating 5 is the center - When we say "Rate someone on a scale from 1-10", I believe that most people subconsciously make 5 the center, neutral value, without realizing that the center between 1 and 10 is actually 5.5.

3) Ratings 4 and 6 are +/-2 away from 0 - While 5 is neutral, ratings 4 and 6 are indicate someone who is definitively attractive or unattractive.

4) "Buckets" - When rating attractiveness, I believe that ratings of 3 and 4 (kinda ugly), 6 and 7 (kinda attractive), and 8 and 9 (very attractive) are very close and almost interchangeable. As a result, each of these buckets differ in rating only by 1. However, the difference between each "bucket" is greater, warranting a difference of 2 between each bucket.

5) The unattainable 10 - Rarely is a perfect rating of 10 ever given to someone's attractiveness. Ten is in a class of its own, yielding the difference of 3 between 9 and 10.

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Laziness and Holiness

“People do not drift toward Holiness. Apart from grace-driven effort, people do not gravitate toward godliness, prayer, obedience to Scripture, faith, and delight in the Lord. We drift toward compromise and call it tolerance; we drift toward disobedience and call it freedom; we drift toward superstition and call it faith. We cherish the indiscipline of lost self-control and call it relaxation; we slouch toward prayerlessness and delude ourselves into thinking we have escaped legalism; we slide toward godlessness and convince ourselves we have been liberated.” ― D.A. Carson

The above Carson quote that Matt Chandler read in a sermon I was listening to struck me as an incredibly accurate picture of human nature and of the trap that we young believers fall into so easily.

Later in the sermon as Chandler elaborates what he believes "grace-driven effort" entails, he says:
"Grace-driven effort attacks the roots and not just the branches...We have deceived ourselves so that our actions, who we actually are and what is in our hearts are somehow separate. We think that we are not wicked and in need of repentance and we just need to modify this behavior. And so we set out to modify a behavior when in the end, you can’t mow over the weeds...If you have lust issues, anger issues, and slander issues, ten times out of ten what you have is a heart issue, not an external issue." - Matt Chandler
I believe that one of the most crippling "heart issues" that we younger, more immature believers struggle with is that of spiritual laziness. Usually when we think of root, heart issues, we tend towards struggles such as insecurity, unhealthy fear, and the idolization of romance, academics, career, money, etc. Rarely do we actually deal with spiritual laziness, as we convince ourselves that if we dealt with any of these other heart issues, spiritual disciplines will magically become easy. We think that once the "major" sins in our lives have been uprooted, prayer and Bible reading will instantly be more attractive and rewarding, when in reality, it is largely our lack of spiritual discipline that leads to those sins in the first place.

As Carson pointed out, we also believe the lie that once saved, we "drift towards holiness". We believe that spiritual maturity is a guaranteed inevitability and that sanctification is only hard and painful for the initial "big" sins that we also think we'll simply outgrow. Despite Biblical, historical, and and personal examples to the contrary, we believe think that following Jesus always gets easier and easier, making us less willing to immediately tackle the difficult spiritual issues in our lives, waiting for them to somehow resolve themselves. Thus, clinging on to a flavor of adolescent rebelliousness, we reject all calls for holiness and discipline as legalistic, optimistically and naively thinking that simply living longer will eventually yield greater holiness. This causes us to perpetually procrastinate the disciplines that we know we desperately need, convincing ourselves that one day those disciplines will come easily, but up until this point, that day has not yet come.

But we have it backwards. Spiritual discipline is necessary for Christian maturity, not the other way around. And while I think that most people would agree with that statement, it seems like few actually live it out. It wasn't actually until senior your in college that I got a taste of what mature Christian life looks like. I experienced both the richness and rewards and the sacrifice and self-denial of a deeper relationship with Christ as I engaged in multiple consistent spiritual disciplines for the first extended period of time in my life. These included good Christian reading, deeper Bible study, Bible memorization, meditation, fasting, and devoted prayer and intercessory time. I say all this not to brag about myself (there isn't much to brag about, really) but to point out how ridiculously small-minded and immature I was just one year earlier when I patted myself on the back when I remembered to crack open my Bible that day. While this have-you-done-your-devotions-this-week stage of Christian life is unavoidable, far too many of us young Christians are stuck in it for far too long, never making it to solid food.

While we create myriads of excuses for ourselves, refusal to pursue maturity and engage in spiritual disciplines is nothing more than spiritual laziness. It isn't jealousy or hatred keeping you from spending quality time in concentrated prayer, nor is it your struggles with lust that keeps you from spending more time with Jesus in the Word. Academic and social busyness seems like a good excuse for the lack of time spent reading Christian books and in personal reflection until you consider the amount of time you spend watching football on the weekends and Hulu during the week. It's also tempting to commit the Pharisaic error of equating participation in religious activities (such as Sunday service and Bible study) with a real personal relationship with God, but corporate religious activities never nullify the need for private disciplines.

Upon honest reflection, our excuses are just excuses, and for many of us, spiritual laziness is one of the root heart issue that needs to be dealt with in our lives. I know that it's definitely one of mine. Spiritual discipline takes time, pain, and patience to create and sustain, but we can be confident that Christ will honor those who pursue him.


Hebrews 12:11 - "For the moment all discipline seems painful rather than pleasant, but later it yields the peaceful fruit of righteousness to those who have been trained by it."

1 Timothy 4:7-8 - "Train yourself for godliness; for while bodily training is of some value, godliness is of value in every way, as it holds promise for the present life and also for the life to come."

Friday, September 6, 2013

Love and Holiness

1 Thessalonians 3:12-13 - "May the Lord make you increase and abound in love for one another and for all, as we do for you, so that he may establish your hearts blameless in holiness before our God and Father, at the coming of our Lord Jesus with all his saints."

1 Timothy 1:5 - "The aim of our charge is love that issues from a pure heart and a good conscience and a sincere faith."

I've never really consciously connected love and holiness until I read the 1 Thessalonians verse a few weeks ago in my quiet times, and this theme of love and holiness has been popping up everywhere to me. It stunned and surprised me that Paul says that love is necessary to for holiness and blamelessness before before God. Unlike the verse suggests, love and holiness were complete disjoint in my mind, and I did not see growing in love as growing in, or even directly influencing, holiness. As I've thought about it, I've realized that I've recently been blinded by a narrow view of both love and holiness. Though I intellectually knew otherwise, love to me is often reduced to an abstract emotion, a virtue that God grants that just mysteriously comes out of me. And my bastardized version of holiness was just "don't do bad things."

Perhaps this is a single-guy-epiphany, but true Christian love both requires holiness and results in inevitable sanctification. Selfless, self-giving Christ-like love isn't something that just happens but must be a result of the mortification of sins such as pride, selfishness, etc (see 1 Timothy verse above). On the other hand, love itself is sanctifying, as it is impossible to love without the selfishness, insecurities, and pride of your heart being revealed and eventually dealt with. Love both fuels and is fueled by holiness.

Paul also seems to suggest in his prayer for the Thessalonians that holiness itself is impossible without love. Unlike the moralistic, legalistic view of holiness that we all tend towards, blamelessness and holiness is more than just avoiding sins but includes the good and right things that God created us for. Love isn't merely icing on the cake or extra credit on top of our best attempts to not sin, love itself is an integral part of holiness. So just as there is no love without holiness, there is no holiness without love.

This short post has taken me forever to write, as I've just had a really difficult time articulating my thoughts. Sorry if none of this is new or insightful for any of you, especially you dating/married folk, but these Scripturally-stemmed, experientially-confirmed realizations have been huge for me these last few weeks. Someone find me a wife.

Thursday, September 5, 2013

Joywok Fantasy Football 2013 Preseason Rankings

The Joywok Fantasy Football Preseason Rankings by vote are below. There were 9 ballots submitted total using SurveyMonkey. The individual point distributions can be found here. Below, I have a few of the more noteworthy observations. If any of you want the source excel file, let me know and I'll email it to you.

Overall Ranking

RankTeamScore
1pancakes (Tom)10
2Infamous Bumpshead (DDu)9
3Chalupa Batman (Justin)8.89
4Paul Blart JamaalCop (BTsai)8.56
5The Pharma-niners (Matt Lau)7.44
6Futt Bumblers (Shawn)6.44
7InJesusName Amendola (Caleb)6.33
8Me Gronk U Long Time (WillFeng)6.22
9Aaron Shootsmendez (Eric)5.67
10Logan (Tim)3.89
11WildWildWes (JoeC)3.11
12black soldiers (BWuu)2.44

Observations

Thomas - Runaway #1 - Tom got 4 first-place votes, with no other team receiving more than 1 such vote.

BWuu - Runaway Last Place Team- Brian received 6 last place votes, which constituted 2/3 of the votes.

Tim's self-vote - Tim voted himself as the first place team, raising his score from what was previously 2.875 (11th place) to 3.89 (10th place).

3 Clear Tiers - From the plot below, it's obvious that there are three tiers, with Brian, Tim, and Joe in the bottom tier, Eric, Will Feng, Caleb, Shawn, and Matt in the middle tier, and BTsai, Justin, DDu, and Tom in the upper tier.

Team Scores


Tuesday, September 3, 2013

NJ Reception Quiz - Iris, James or Both?

For Iris and James' NJ reception, I did a small, simple quiz testing everyone's knowledge of Iris and James. Each table had to decide if each of the following statements are true for only Iris, only James, or both Iris and James. The average score per table was around 3-4 as expected (even the tables with Iris and James' closest friends only scored a 4), but the highest score was a whopping 7/10 who guessed their way to victory. Take the quiz and open the answers page. How well have you done?

1) Has a smart and handsome older brother.
2) Was born in Michigan.
3) Had chicken pox.
4) Needed braces.
5) Went to basketball camp as a kid.
6) Played in marching band in high school.
7) Took African politics in college.
8) Graduated with a perfect GPA (4.0)
9) Has never been to Europe.
10 )Favorite verse is Isaiah 40:30-31 - “Even youths grow tired and weary, and young men stumble and fall; but those who hope in the Lord will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint

Answers are here. Don't click until you've taken the quiz!


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